Somebody recently left a comment on my site and said they favored long term holding of stock. I can completely understand the reasoning. It all has to do with strategy. What are you investing for? Pension? Or buy the new dream home. Now I’m not saying it’s easy. Not too many out there can do it. Although, I have read about stay home women in China that are now have a full time and very profitable career from trading.
It’s not out of the normal persons boundary to learn and apply learning.
I read very recently and cannot find the article, but it mentioned that holding for the long term is not profitable. As most long term traders earn 6 to 7% on their portfolio.
However, the wisdom is in compound interest. Each year after the initial year you begin earning interest on interest, which is a very profitable scenario. Although, with peaks and troughs the way they are, when is it time to get out. I personally know the feeling of greed and the feeling of fear caused from the market. When your stock drops something inside, greed, says it will come back. I can be profitable again as you watch the flashing red increase in opacity. On the other hand when do you take profit.
Fear of taking the profit too soon? Could have made more. Much much more?
What I’m saying is your action to get out of the market is based on need. You finally it an age or a time period and you want to take out your earnings. What if the market is low? What is you can’t wait another year or two for the market to recover? The long term play can be dictated by external circumstances.
Trading short term for profit gives you the control. You can exit and enter at times that are timed to precision. Maximizing profit and reducing risk.
So there is a law here that states that you can’t short the market, borrowing stock, selling it at a high price, buying back at lower price, and returning the number of stock minus the profit from selling. I agree that markets should not be able to short. It’s too dangerous to market stability.
However, you can still take advantage of a falling market with spread betting.
I recently got this email from EWI, Elliot Wave International.
“The latest rally in stocks and commodities has accompanied the temporary return of inflation, which in turn has brought signs of an impending official “recovery.” But it is mostly another illusion borne of optimism, as a weak dollar—a result of expanded credit—has once again puffed up the economic data. But this trend will roll over shortly behind the stock market, and we will once again see that the economy is on an undulating toboggan ride to the bottom of the valley.”
From what I’m seeing lately in the market. The market looks like it’s running out of steam and about to drop dead. Numbers don’t stack. The charts show lack of ambition. The last week has shown the largest amount of trading to occur on SELL days. This combined with convergent divergence in the leading indices is shown a strong signal to SELL.
If you haven’t got a spread betting account, I would get one immediately. And the devour what knowledge you can.
I’ll update more on what I’m following soon.